Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.088724 0.102835 0.118256 0.136334 0.156914 0.179585 0.206420
2025-01-05 0.067712 0.086480 0.108826 0.137276 0.172404 0.214224 0.267632
2025-01-12 0.051642 0.071941 0.098016 0.133701 0.180964 0.241070 0.322897
2025-01-19 0.040985 0.061733 0.090253 0.131854 0.190420 0.269256 0.382589
2025-01-26 0.035767 0.057691 0.089659 0.138922 0.211975 0.315146 0.470370
2025-02-02 0.031495 0.054087 0.088845 0.145126 0.232555 0.361386 0.563128
2025-02-09 0.025839 0.047210 0.081867 0.140753 0.236424 0.383248 0.622082
2025-02-16 0.021963 0.042501 0.077464 0.139544 0.244587 0.411801 0.693218
2025-02-23 0.018427 0.037709 0.072113 0.135840 0.247929 0.432647 0.753639
2025-03-02 0.015668 0.033821 0.067692 0.132986 0.252073 0.454752 0.817550
2025-03-09 0.013916 0.031553 0.065832 0.134351 0.263482 0.489701 0.905495
2025-03-16 0.011853 0.028273 0.061550 0.130568 0.265020 0.507518 0.965204
2025-03-23 0.011040 0.027551 0.062282 0.136704 0.285966 0.562102 1.095428
2025-03-30 0.009884 0.025865 0.060808 0.138258 0.298315 0.602236 1.203193
2025-04-06 0.008492 0.023361 0.057220 0.134959 0.300679 0.623915 1.278688
2025-04-13 0.007420 0.021417 0.054559 0.133244 0.305983 0.651536 1.367546
2025-04-20 0.007069 0.021239 0.055889 0.140457 0.330640 0.719015 1.538707
2025-04-27 0.006684 0.020898 0.056780 0.146765 0.353954 0.785648 1.713208
2025-05-04 0.005757 0.018876 0.053276 0.142367 0.353281 0.803239 1.790498
2025-05-11 0.005110 0.017518 0.051224 0.141154 0.359569 0.835711 1.900569
2025-05-18 0.004436 0.015929 0.048314 0.137416 0.359577 0.854716 1.983825
2025-05-25 0.003884 0.014597 0.045877 0.134534 0.361240 0.877325 2.076278
2025-06-01 0.003555 0.013910 0.045117 0.135915 0.373308 0.923831 2.223694